How to Run Numbers on a Rental Property Before You Buy

A red  House for Rent  sign stands on a grassy lawn beside a wooden house exterior.

Most real estate deals look good in your head. The numbers tell a different story rental property cash flow calculator. Here is a systematic framework for analyzing any rental property before making an offer.

Step 1: Establish the ARV and Rent Estimate

Pull at least 5 comparable sales within 1 mile and 6 months. Pull at least 5 rental comps on Zillow, Rentometer, and Craigslist. Your rental estimate should be conservative — use the median or low end of comps.

Step 2: Calculate Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM) cap rate calculator

GRM = Purchase Price / Annu real estate ROI calculatoral Gross Rent. A $300,000 property at $2,000/month gross rent has a GRM of 12.5. In most markets, GRMs above 15 signal overpricing for buy-and-hold investors.

Step 3: Apply the 50% Rule

Assume 50% of gross rent covers operating expenses (not including mortgage). The remaining 50% pays the mortgage and provides cash flow. If rent minus 50% minus mortgage payment is negative, the deal likely needs renegotiating.

Step 4: Run the Full Analysis

Model out 5 years of ownership: Year 1 cash flow, equity paydown, assumed 3% annual appreciation, and exit costs. Calculate your IRR (internal rate of return). Target 12%+ IRR for a good leveraged deal.

Never fall in love with a property. The numbers decide.

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